The Wall Street Journal yesterday reported that oil and stocks are working together closer than they have in twenty-six years.
Oil and stock markets have moved in lockstep this year, a rare coupling that highlights fears about global economic growth.
As oil prices tumbled early in 2016, global equities recorded one of their worst-ever starts for a new year. On Monday, oil and stocks were lower again. The S&P 500 index was down 0.7% in midday New York trading, and Brent crude futures, the global benchmark, were down $1.37 a barrel, or 4.3%, to $30.81. That followed a joint rebound on Friday.
The correlation between the price of Brent and the S&P 500 stock index is at levels not seen in the past 26 years. January isn’t over yet, but over the past 20 trading days—an average month—the correlation is 0.97, higher than any calendar month since 1990 . . . .
And today, stocks rebounded with the 3.4% increased in the price of oil to $31.38 a barrel. And yeah, that’s still low.
The correlation may not be a strong as reports indicate, though. Some reports suggest that the correlation is not nearly as close as it seems. As
